Monday, January 4, 2016

Gun Rights and Wrongs (Part 1)

1988 Democratic Presidential Candidate Governor Mike Dukakis (Massachusetts),
"commands" the 50 caliber machine gun on an M1 Abrams Tank

GUN RIGHTS AND WRONGS

Some ideas on how new technology, 
particularly "UltraSmart" guns that will fire only for authorized individuals, 
plus some common-sense reforms in liability for gun owners, 
might help reduce unnecessary gun violence, 
while being compatible with our Constitutionally guaranteed 
Second Amendment  "Right to Bear Arms".

Part 1 - The Problem. Is it too many restrictive gun LAWS, too many GUNS, or too many gun HOMICIDES?

Part 2 - New Technology. Might "UltraSmart" gun technology, that allows only Authorized Users to fire the gun, help address part of the problem?

Part 3 - Absolute Liability. Within the context of the Constitutional Second Amendment "right to bear arms", could gun owners, over time, voluntarily adopt "UltraSmart" guns, to mitigate the financial liability risks of owning conventional guns?

Part 4 - Aggressive Police Tactics. "Stop, Question (and Optionally Frisk)" has a disproportionate effect on Blacks, but it has been shown to save proportionately more Black than White lives.

Part 1 - The Problem
Is it too many restrictive gun LAWS, too many GUNS, or too  many gun HOMICIDES?

Is there any way to resolve the diversity of opinion regarding gun control in the US? Will the "pro-gun" NRA ever agree to any new laws intended to reduce gun violence? Will the "anti-gun" forces ever give up their goal to banish private ownership of guns entirely?

Probably not!

However, for what it is worth, here are some ideas that may appeal to those of us in the middle. [This material is based on a talk I gave to an overflow audience of about 120 people at the Philosophy Club of The Villages, FL, on 8 January 2016. As you might imagine, the question, answer, and discussion period following my talk was quite animated!   CLICK TO Download My PowerPoint file

US CONSTITUTION, SECOND AMENDMENT (1791)

A well regulated militia, being necessary to the security of a free state,

 the right of the people to keep and bear arms, shall not be infringed.

This amendment, passed in 1791, consists of the above compound sentence, in plain English. However, the first phrase seems to be in conflict with the last two,

Is the "right to bear arms" only in the context of a "well-regulated militia"? Is this "militia" to be "regulated" by the government, and, if so, how can government regulation be crafted such that the "right of the people" is not "infringed"?

Well, as recently as 2008, the US Supreme Court, in District of Columbia vs Heller, ruled (5 to 4) that the right to bear arms belongs to individual people. However, like most "rights" it is not unlimited, and firearms may be regulated. For example, convicted felons, mentally defective persons, and others may be prohibited from purchasing and possessing guns. 

Furthermore, some types of firearms are off-limits even to upstanding mentally competent citizens. In other words, no one, not even 1988 Presidential Candidate Governor Mike Dukakis may privately own and operate the 50 caliber machine gun on an M1 Abrams Tank!

LEGAL PRECEDENT IN BRITISH COMMON LAW

Sir William Blackstone, the authority on British Common Law, wrote [1765] 
THE auxiliary right of the subject ... is that of having arms for their defense, suitable to their condition and degree, and such as are allowed by law. ... and is indeed a public allowance, under due restrictions, of the natural right of resistance and self-preservation, when the sanctions of society and laws are found insufficient to restrain the violence of oppression.
Thus, the tension between the individual right of armed self-defense, and reasonable limits of law, has a very long history.

CURRENT SWISS LAW AND PRACTICE

Male citizens of Switzerland keep fully automatic firearms at home in case of a call-up. There is a very high personal gun ownership rate. Overall, the crime rate is low, but the gun suicide rate is the highest in Europe. The rate of homicide is considerably lower than the European average.


1996 AUSTRALIAN GUN BUYBACK 

After a 1996 massacre, the Australian government implemented a confiscatory gun buyback program that removed some 20% to 30% of personally owned guns from private possession. The 1996 Australian buyback is often hailed as a great success by US gun control advocates. What are the facts? 

The vertical blue line and bar indicates 1996, the year Australia instituted a major gun buyback program.
TOP (Gray background): Australian gun suicide and gun homicide statistics prior to and after the 1996 buyback program.
Middle (Gray background): Australian non-gun suicide and gun suicide statistics for the same period.
BOTTOM (White background): US gun suicide and gun homicide statistics for the same period.  
Australians and Americans speak English and share a British colonial background. Both countries have about the same area (3 vs 3.9 million square miles). However, gun ownership is vastly different (4 million vs nearly 300 million), Australia does not have constitutional protection of the "right to bear arms" nor does it have a strong gun lobby.

With those differences in mind, let us take a closer look at the data. 

[TOP section] Gun control advocates point out that, after the 1996 buyback, gun suicides declined from around 2 to 0.7 per hundred thousand, and that gun homicides declined from about 0.5 to 0.15 per hundred thousand, which is quite impressive. However, please note that, for several years prior to the 1996 buyback, gun suicides had been declining at a pretty rapid rate. So, how much did the buyback program accelerate the decline?

[MIDDLE section] Note that, in the two years after the gun buyback program, non-gun suicides increased from about 11 to 13 per hundred thousand, more than making up for the decline in gun suicides during that period! The message here is that when ready access to guns is denied, people intent upon suicide will use poison or asphyxiation or other non-gun means to accomplish their intent.  

[BOTTOM section] Despite the fact the US did not have a gun buyback program, our gun suicides and gun homicides declined significantly during the same period! 

When you see the Australian gun buyback statistics used by gun control advocates, you will most often notice that gun suicide and gun homicide data are combined, which has the effect of exaggerating the decline. Furthermore, they usually fail to note that gun suicide rates in Australia were on the decline even before the 1996 gun buyback, nor do they point out that US gun suicide and homicide rates declined during the same period, despite the fact we did not have gun buyback!

My conclusion is that, while the Australian experience is interesting, it has little or nothing to do with the gun control situation in the US.

US GUN DEATH STATISTICS 

About 2.5 million people die in the US each year, About 92% from natural causes, and only 8% are not natural, being due to accidents, malpractice, homicide, suicide, or legal intervention.

Gun-related deaths constitute only 1.3 percent of all US deaths. If Gun Suicides are excluded, the total of Gun Homicides, Accidents, Legal, and Other constitutes less than 0.5 % of all US deaths, as indicated in the graphic below. Most gun homicides are gang and/or drug related, i.e., criminals shooting each other. I've read that 80% of all gun homicides are gang and/or drug related but I could not find any clear statistical documentation for this claim. I'd appreciate comments from readers that confirm or dis-confirm this claim. 


US Non-Natural deaths in 2013 (from CDC http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr64/nvsr64_02.pdf, Table 10.)
SOCIAL AND POLITICAL IMPLICATIONS OF GUN CONTROL 

The following list of pithy bullets represents my attempt to summarize the general positions espoused by some participants in the gun control debate. Please recognize that this is a "shorthand" description of what are often highly nuanced and complex positions. I do not pretend that all Libertarians subscribe exactly to the first set of bullets nor that all Liberals or Conservatives subscribe exactly to the latter two sets. 

Currently, the two leading candidates in the Democratic Presidential Primaries, Secretary Hillary Clinton and Senator Bernie Sanders have diverse opinions on gun laws. Sanders, who hails from a "pro-gun" state, takes positions that are, in many cases, closer to Republican views. Furthermore, among the many candidates in the Republican Presidential Primaries, some may say they lean more to the Libertarian view rather than what I have characterized as the Republican view. Also, not all members of the NRA fully subscribe to the official NRA position.
• NRA (and Libertarians) generally favor almost no control.
– The fewer new gun laws the better. 
Police should enforce current laws. Courts should impose severe sentences on gun-toting criminals.
• Democrats (and Liberals) generally favor strict control.
– The fewer guns the better
Easy access to too many guns is to blame when disturbed people or politically or religiously motivated terrorists cause mass shootings. Police brutalize and too often shoot unarmed Blacks.
• Republicans (and Conservatives) generally favor moderate regulation.
– The fewer unjust gun homicides the better. 
Aggressive police tactics in high crime areas are often necessary, even if they have uneven racial impacts. Stop, Question (Optionally Frisk)” policies actually save proportionately more Black than White lives.

Discussion of the above bullet points:

NRA (and Libertarians) - I am not now and never have been a member of the NRA. However, while living in a rural upstate area of New York State for over three decades I did own and use a 12 gauge shotgun and a .22 rifle (both bolt-action). While I have never considered myself a Libertarian, I do like a lot of what John Stossel, the resident Libertarian at Fox News says.

In general, I would like to see current gun laws enforced, particularly as they relate to stiff jail time for anyone who uses a gun in commission of a crime. On the other hand, while I am skeptical about the ability of "the government" to do anything particularly well, I think there are some common sense changes to US gun laws that could help reduce unnecessary gun violence, as I will outline later in this series of postings.

So, while sympathetic, I cannot subscribe to the idea that the fewer gun laws the better.

Democrats (and Liberals) - A photo of Democratic icon and four-times elected President Franklin Delano Roosevelt hung on the wall of the Brighton Beach bungalow in Brooklyn, NY, where my brother and I lived with our parents and grandparents. My whole family voted Democrat up until my father scandalized us in the neighborhood by voting for Republican Dwight Eisenhower for President.

It was as an engineering student at the uber-leftist City College of New York where I discovered that the honorable appellation "Liberal" had been hijacked by Socialists and Democrats and turned upside-down and inside-out. I still consider myself a "Liberal" in the classical sense, as "the term used to designate the ideology advocating private property, an unhampered market economy, the rule of law, constitutional guarantees of freedom of religion and of the press, and international peace based on free trade." But, I digress.

At first glance, the idea that, since all gun violence involves a gun, it would be better if there were fewer guns, makes sense.

However, that does not follow logically. For example, all medical malpractice involves doctors and medical personnel, so (following parallel reasoning) it would be better if there were fewer doctors and medical personnel. Of course, that is ridiculous! Only a small percentage of doctors and medical personnel are bad, so what we need to reduce medical malpractice is fewer bad ones and more good ones!

The same is true of guns. Only a tiny percentage of guns are involved in unnecessary gun violence. Most of those (perhaps as many as 80%) are possessed by criminals, particularly gang members and drug dealers. So, rather than fewer guns overall, what we need to do is reduce bad gun possession by criminals, gang members and drug dealers. A very small percentage of guns are used by mentally-disturbed people and politically or religiously motivated terrorists, so we need to reduce their access to guns. Finally some guns deaths are accidental, including poorly secured guns inadvertently found by children, and guns used by people who are under the influence of alcohol or drugs. Therefore, it would be good if we could use new technology to allow guns to be fired only by competent adults.

As we all know, technological advances have made high resolution surveillance cameras very inexpensive. I think it is, on balance, good that these cameras are ubiquitous both outside and inside most businesses and many public areas, that police cars have dashboard cameras, that individual policemen have body cameras, and that virtually everyone now carries a cell phone camera.

As a result, damning images have been captured of policemen unnecessarily and brutally shooting unarmed people, including a disproportionate number of Black men. These videos have been broadcast for all to see and prove, even to "pro-police" people like me, that some policemen are trigger happy, and some are also racist.

Despite these videos, I do not think many Democrats/Liberals would seriously consider disarming law enforcement. I join all right-thinking Americans in condemning the policemen involved. I think it would be good if we could use new technology to reduce official misconduct by providing police with what I call "UltraSmart" guns that are designed to be safer and that automatically capture images of each shot, along with time and location data.

So, I cannot subscribe to the idea that the fewer guns the better.

Republicans (and Conservatives) - OK, I must confess here that I am an old Goldwater/Reagan Republican, and a Proud Conservative in the modern sense (i.e., Classical Liberal).

{Trump tangent, skip over if you wish} 

As postings to this Blog (one, two, and three) and my Facebook page demonstrate, I think Donald Trump has tapped into the deep frustration we feel after seven years of President Obama's brand of "change" and the GOP leadership's failure to effectively reign him in. Trump is shouting what we want to hear (yes, even what I want to hear), but his bluster does not stand close examination. His rhetoric is mostly generalities, and in the few instances when he gets specific, he gets his facts wrong. 

Donald Trump is a Crony Capitalist Democrat pretending to be a Republican. As recently as 2004, Trump told CNN's Wolf Blitizer "In many cases, I probably identify more as Democrat" and in 2007, also with Blitzer, he praised Hillary Clinton's ability to negotiate with Iran. Trump gave more of his ample money to Democrats than Republicans between 1989 and 2009 according to NPR. At the first GOP debate this year, he bragged: “I’ll tell you what, with Hillary Clinton, I said, ‘Be at my wedding,’ and she came to my [third] wedding. ... You know why? She had no choice, because I gave.” Until recently, Trump's views on military action in the mid-east, abortion, drug legalization, and health care have been more in line with leftist Democrats than with independents and Republicans. 

To repeat, Trump is a Crony Capitalist DEMOCRAT who is wrecking the Republican Party I know and love, with the inadvertent assistance of the ratings-hungry media, including Fox News, and the feckless response of the dozen other candidates competing in the Republican Presidential Primary, several of whom are excellent in my opinion. 


{end of Trump tangent} 

To gain traction in the primary process, Republican candidates must take anti-gun control positions close to that of the NRA because a substantial portion of Republican Primary voters demand it. I know many of these people personally as hard-working, upstanding, good family men and women who (like me) do not trust the government to do anything except take the money we earn and use it to buy the votes they need by promising and delivering unearned assistance to people who, in many cases, cannot or will not work consistently or hard. Unfortunately, many of these fellow Republicans will reject, out of hand, my ideas for common sense changes in gun regulations and the introduction of "UltraSmart" gun technology. Please note that the NRA does not, out of hand, reject the introduction of "Smart" guns, so long as they are reliable and safe and voluntarily adopted in a free marketplace.*

So, here is where I think most Republicans and Conservatives agree with me. That the problem is not too many guns, but, rather too many unjust gun homicides. The fewer unjust gun homicides the better. Aggressive police tactics in high crime areas are often necessary, even if they have uneven racial impacts. As I will show in Part 4 of this "Gun Rights and Wrongs" topic, "Stop, Question (and Optionally Frisk)" policies actually save proportionately more Black than White lives. 

So, I DO subscribe to the idea that The fewer unjust gun homicides the better

I hope my fellow Republicans and Conservatives will read and give fair consideration to my "UltraSmart" gun technology* concepts in the Part 2 of this "Gun Rights and Wrongs" topic.

* According to the NRA, they have "never opposed smart guns, believing the marketplace should decide their future. Rather, NRA opposes government mandates of expensive, unproven technology, and smart guns are a prime example of that."

Ira Glickstein




Part 1 - The Problem. Is it too many restrictive gun LAWS, too many GUNS, or too many gun HOMICIDES?

Part 2 - New Technology. Might "UltraSmart" gun technology, that allows only Authorized Users to fire the gun, help address part of the problem?

Part 3 - Absolute Liability. Within the context of the Constitutional Second Amendment "right to bear arms", could gun owners, over time, voluntarily adopt "UltraSmart" guns, to mitigate the financial liability risks of owning conventional guns?

Part 4 - Aggressive Police Tactics. "Stop, Question (and Optionally Frisk)" has a disproportionate effect on Blacks, but it has been shown to save proportionately more Black than White lives.

Tuesday, December 15, 2015

TOP "Four Pinocchios" of 2015 (Washington Post)

The Washington Post just published the "The Biggest Pinocchios of 2015". I don't always agree with the Washington Post, and my selection of 2015 fibs and fibbers wouldn't be exactly the same as their top "Four-Pinocchio Ratings". However, I think their list is well worth considering.

I've divided the Washington Post list into two groups:
A) The better known fibbers and fibs (depicted in the above graphic), and
B) The lesser known fibbers (depicted in the lower graphic).


Here are the liars and lies from the Washington Post piece by Glenn Kessler (direct quotes from the piece are surrounded by quote marks):

DONALD TRUMP
The Donald is credited with three items in the "Biggest Pinocchios of 2015" list (although they say he earned no  fewer than 11 Four-Pinocchio ratings in the past six months).

FALSE>>>“I watched thousands and thousands of Muslims in New Jersey cheer as the World Trade Center fell.”
"Donald Trump falsely and repeatedly asserted that he saw television images of Muslims in New Jersey celebrating the collapse of the twin towers after the 9/11 attacks. Despite repeated debunking of this claim, Trump continued to assert he was correct, even though he could produce no evidence except a handful of news stories that made brief mentions of alleged celebrations — which never could be confirmed."
"... a range of studies show there is no evidence immigrants commit more crimes than native-born Americans."
Donald Trump first said President Obama planned to admit 200,000 Syrian refugees, a figure conjured out of thin air. Then it became 250,000. But the real figure is 10,000. The United States is only planning to admit 180,000 refugees from all countries in the next two years."

RALLYING CRY PROTESTING POLICE SHOOTINGS OF BLACKS
FALSE>>>“Hands up, don’t shoot.”
"This phrase became a rallying cry for protests after the fatal shooting of a black 18-year-old by a white police officer, Darren Wilson. Witness accounts spread after the shooting that Michael Brown had his hands raised in surrender, mouthing the words 'Don’t shoot' as his last words before being shot execution-style. Democratic lawmakers raised their hands in solidarity on the House floor. But various investigations concluded this did not happen — and that Wilson acted out of self-defense and was justified in killing Brown."

SENATOR HILLARY CLINTON
FALSE>>>“DOMA had to be enacted to stop an anti-gay marriage amendment to the U.S. Constitution.”
"Former secretary of state Hillary Clinton, the Democratic front-runner, defended her husband’s signing of the anti-gay Defense of Marriage Act as a defensive action, to prevent a constitutional ban on same-sex marriage. But there is little evidence in the public record that was the case, even though Clinton claimed 'there was enough political momentum' at the time to amend the constitution. (Clinton later said it only had come up in 'private discussions.')"

PRESIDENT BARACK OBAMA
"Long before President Obama killed the Keystone pipeline project, he made a number of dubious claims about it, including that the pipeline would have no benefit for American producers at all. But the crude oil would have traveled to the Gulf Coast, where it would be refined into products such as motor gasoline and diesel fuel; the State Department said odds were low that all would be exported. Also, about 12 percent of the pipeline’s capacity had been set aside for crude from North Dakota and Montana."

SECRETARY OF STATE JOHN KERRY
"Secretary of State John F. Kerry for years has said he organized the first Senate hearings on climate change with then-Sens. Al Gore and Tim Wirth. But that was false. Kerry was not at the pivotal 1988 hearing in the Senate — and neither was Gore, who organized the first hearing in the House in 1981. On top of that, Kerry described witnessing events that did not happen."

SENATOR RAND PAUL
"Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) loved to tell the story of an elderly man sitting in prison for 10 years after being accused of racketeering and organized crime — just for putting dirt on his land. But just about every aspect of Paul’s recounting was inaccurate and misleading. The man, Robert Lucas, was convicted of mail fraud, conspiracy and environmental violations for his role in developing 67 mobile home lots inside federally protected wetlands, building on wetlands without approval and knowingly selling land with illegal sewage systems that were likely to fail."

SENATOR ELIZABETH WARREN
"Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), pushing for new regulations of loans made by car dealers, cited a figure based on a misleading and dated report from the Center for Responsible Lending, an advocacy group. But then she also wildly mischaracterized the number, as even the advocacy group conceded that the figure includes reasonable compensation owed to car dealers."

SENATOR CHRIS MURPHY
"Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) made this claim in June, which indicated 128 school shootings since December 2014. The number came from the anti-gun group Everytown for Gun Safety, but its methodology was deeply flawed, including suicides, accidental discharges and so forth. Official government statistics are much lower, indicating the political peril of relying on advocacy groups."

MAYOR RUDOLPH GIULIANI
"Former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani (R) asserted that Obama, unlike other Democratic presidents such as Bill Clinton, Jimmy Carter or Harry Truman, never said the United States was a great or exceptional country. This was a bizarre claim. We concluded Giuliani must have muted the sound whenever Obama spoke, because there are many examples of Obama saying exactly that."

GOVERNOR MIKE HUCKABEE
"Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee (R) cited the “covers” of Time and Newsweek to claim global freezing had been a serious concern 40 years ago. But these were not cover stories, just isolated examples of speculative journalism. It was never a serious concern; researchers found that peer-reviewed articles on global cooling were in a distinct minority compared to those concerned with global warming."  


[I (Ira) think this Huckabee Pinocchio is not fully justified and should not be in the top Four-Pinocchio list. See my NOTE below.]

Ira Glickstein

NOTE ABOUT THE HUCKABEE PINOCCHIO: 

The threat of man-made global COOLING perceived in the 1970s was apparently not featured on the covers of Time or Newsweek. So, technically, Huckabee was fibbing when he claimed COVER stories. However, global COOLING was fairly widely reported at the time, including pieces in both Time and Newsweek.  

Here is what the Washington Post RECENTLY wrote about 1970's press coverage of the threat of man-made global COOLING:
Time magazine in 1974 titled an article “Another Ice Age?” and said “climatological Cassandras are becoming increasingly apprehensive, for the weather aberrations they are studying may be the harbinger of another ice age.”
Newsweek, in 1975, ran an article titled “The Cooling World,” which said: “Meteorologists disagree about the cause and extent of the cooling trend…. But they are almost unanimous in the view that the trend will reduce agricultural productivity for the rest of the century.” Newsweek suggested that one solution was “melting the arctic ice cap by covering it with black soot.”
(The Washington Post scooped them both with a 1970 article titled, “Colder Winters Held Dawn of New Ice Age.”)
Furthermore, the threat of excessive cooling due to human activities was considered serious enough to prompt the prestigious National Science Board in 1974 to make serious predictions based upon falling global temperatures experienced during that decade (as I posted to my Blog in 2009).  

Here is a link to the actual 1974 official US Government report that included the following:
 "... growing industrialization and the spread of agriculture introduced increasing quantities of dust into the atmosphere which reduced the amount of solar radiation reaching the earth. ... the cooling effect of the dust particles more than compensated for the warming effect of the carbon dioxide, and world temperature began to fall."

"Several consequences [of colder temperatures] have been observed: ... southward intrusion of sea-ice ... unusually large numbers of severe storms ... development of a calamitous drought belt extending around the world ..."

Finally, here is what I posted to my Blog in 2009

National Science Board Prediction: Global COOLING 

The US National Science Board (part of the National Science Foundation) issued a report titled Science and the Challenges Ahead that makes six interesting science-based observations and predictions. (Three relevant paragraphs from pages 24-25 of the linked document are reproduced here. Click on image to make it larger.)

Direct quotes are indicated by numbered arrows:

1- "Human activity may be involved on an even broader scale in changing the global climate."

2- "During the last 20-30 years, world temperature has fallen ..."

3- "... there is increasing concern that man himself may be implicated, not only in the recent cooling trend but also in the warming temperatures ...

4- "... activities of the expanding human population - especially those involved with the burning of fossil fuels - raised the carbon dioxide content of the atmosphere, which acts as a 'greenhouse' ..."

5- "But simulataneously ... growing industrialization and the spread of agriculture introduced increasing quantities of dust into the atmosphere which reduced the amount of solar radiation reaching the earth. ... the cooling effect of the dust particles more than compensated for the warming effect of the carbon dioxide, and world temperature began to fall."

6- "Several consequences [of colder temperatures] have been observed: ... southward intrusion of sea-ice ... unusually large numbers of severe storms ... development of a calamitous drought belt extending around the world ..."

Oh, I forgot to mention, the report was issued in 1974! (Well before Climategate :^)


The more things change,
the more they remain the same!
Warming, cooling, ... whatever - it is always MAN's fault!
(And, of course, WOMAN's too :^)
Could it be NATURAL CYCLES not within Human Control?
Nope - No grant money in that!


Ira Glickstein

Wednesday, October 14, 2015

Our 1997 Egyptian Adventure

Our Egyptian Adventure

When we visited the Queen Hatshepsut Temple in Luxor, we felt quite safe. We were shocked when, only two weeks after our visit, in November 1997, several dozen tourists were killed there!

Our hotel in Cairo was conveniently located on El Gezirah Island in the Nile River, within a walk of Tahrir Square, where, a month before our visit, nine tourists were killed.
 I'm no expert on Egypt, but Vi and I spent a couple weeks there back in 1997.
Here is a "blow-by-blow" description of our tour.

NOTE: Freedom Pointe Independent Living is celebrating Egypt this month and I have volunteered to give a short "travelogue" presentation to the residents about the trip Vi and I took back in 1997. I found the posting I did back then on my old Prodigy blog on the "Wayback Machine" and have updated it here (mostly replacing the tiny photos we had to use back then due to slow internet speeds with larger versions, and adding more photos).

From New York to London to Cairo

(Fri 10/24/97, Leave JFK 10:20pm, Sat 10/25/97, Arrive London Heathrow, 10am, 6 hour layover)
We flew from New York-JFK to London, where we visited Hyde Park and had lunch in Piccadily Circus during our layover.

(Sat 10/25/97, Leave London Heathrow 4pm to Cairo)
We then flew to Cairo where we were met by our tour company director, Tariq, and our mini-bus driver, Zacharia, who took us to our hotel, the Sheraton, on El Gezireh Island in the middle of the Nile, with a terrific view of the Nile and Cairo. (Arrive at El Gezireh Sheraton, 11:30pm)

(Sun 10/26/97, Visit the majestic pyramids of Giza, the timeless Sphinx, and the Valley Temple. Lunch at Mena House, visit Sakkara Pyramid.)
The following morning, we met our tour guide, Mona, and the other three members of our tour, a newly-wed couple (in their 60's) and his son (in his 30's). This was a nearly-personal tour!

Cairo Traffic is an Adventure

We learned about Cairo traffic as we wended our way to the Pyramids at Giza, not far from Cairo. The terrible and wonderful Cairo traffic makes getting there half the fun.

In Egypt, lane markers and traffic lights are strictly for decoration. Drivers squeeze around and between each other, honking their horns not out of anger, but just to let each other know they are there and coming through! Meanwhile, donkey carts, people on bicycles, people on foot, and even the occasional herd of sheep, cross the streets between the cars and trucks and buses, and no one seems to get hurt!

Camel Ride Adventure

At the pyramids, Vi was taking pictures and I saw an opportunity to use my camera to get her in a picture with a camel. The camel driver saw me and began posing, which I knew would cost me "baksheesh" (tips). I told him I hadn't photographed him, just my wife "who is taking pictures over there", and I pointed at her. At that instant, neither Vi nor I had any idea she and I were about to ride a camel!

The camel driver rushed over to Vi and pulled her next to the camel, which was kneeling down. She  (and I :^) figured I was just going to take a photo of her standing next to the camel, but, next thing we knew, the camel driver maneuvered her leg over the camel and she was sitting. I asked the driver, "What is this going to cost me?" He said, "Whatever you want to pay." Then, UP went the camel!

UP Went the Camel!
As you can see by the expression on the camel's face (and Vi's) this was a big surprise!!! I took a couple pictures of Vi on the camel and then we convinced the camel driver to let her down.


Then it was my turn. I willingly got on the camel and the driver exchanged my hat for his head scarf. Then UP went the camel!!! Camels get up and down one end at a time, which makes you feel like you will slide over the the front or rear. Once fully up, they are level, but VERY high!

As Vi prepared to take photos of me, the camel driver grabbed the lead and ran with the camel to a place where she could get the pyramids in the background of the photo. I held on for dear life as the camel trotted along!

Vi took a picture of me on the camel, with the pyramids in the background. Then the driver told Vi to hold the camel's lead and he would take a picture of the two of us. As he fiddled with the camera, the camel developed an interest in Vi's backpack, as you can see.

The Camel Was Sniffing Vi's Backpack!

The camel driver wanted to run me around some more, but I had had enough camel riding for that day (and probably for my life). I finally convinced him to let me down, and now it was time to pay. I gave him US $10, and he acted VERY offended. "This is not for me, also for the camel!" So, I reached into my wallet to get another $10, but two tens stuck together and he grabbed them, for a total of $30, and he was still not satisfied! However, I was happy to have obtained a photo of Vi on a camel and riden one myself, and Vi was relieved to have survived the whole thing, and $30 wasn't that much considering, ...

When we got back to the mini-bus, we told Mona, our guide, all the details. She left the bus and returned with the camel driver a moment later. He handed me my three $10 bills and said he was sorry. Mona told me to pay him 20 Egyptian pounds (about $6). I tried to give him $10 but Mona was insistent, and the Camel Adventure cost us only $6 (if you don't count the extra big tip I gave Mona that evening.)

Police-Escorted Convoy to Alexandria

(Mon 10/27/97, Travel to Alexandria. Visit Catacombs, GrecoRoman Museum. Lunch at San Giovanni.)
The next day we were driven to Alexandria, about three hours northwest of Cairo. We were stopped by police along the highway and put into a convoy of tour buses and mini-buses for part of the drive there. We thought nothing of it and did not feel the least bit uneasy, but, considering the tourist shoot-up that occurred a couple weeks later, perhaps we should have.

Flight to Our Nile Cruise Boat at Aswan, Flight to Abu Simbel, Nile Cruise

(Tues 10/28/97, Fly to Aswan and transfer to cruise ship, Ramses Queen Nabila II. Morning tour of Aswan Dam, Granite Quarry. Visit Philae Temple near sunset. Felucca ride at sunset.)
Early the next morning, two couples joined our original group, and we were all hustled to the airport for an Egypt Air flight to Aswan, a few hundred miles south of Cairo. We and our luggage were hustled through airport security, which didn't seem too effective (but it was fast!) We were supposed to check our luggage, but, due to poor instructions, we just left it all on a cart, and hustled to board the packed flight. When we reached Aswan we were concerned about our luggage, but, it showed up!

In Egypt, we learned, things are not always planned fully, but somehow, thank God, they seem to work out!

There were a couple dozen English-speaking people in the Nile Cruise portion of our tour, and our guide was Vivian. Most of the other tourists on the boat were Italian or French-speaking.

(Wed. 10/29/97, Fly to Abu Simbel to visit temple of Ramses II with its four colossal statues and the smaller temple of Queen Nefertari. Return to Aswan where ship leaves for sail down Nile to Kom Ombo. Visit Ptolemaic temple at Kom Ombo after sunset.)
After the guided tour and lunch, I walked about two miles in Aswan, including some back streets and local market areas. Although I was clearly a lone tourist, I did not feel at all in danger.

(Thu. 10/30/97, Leave Kom Ombo at 4am and sail down Nile to Edfu. Tour Edfu Temple. Sail to Esna and tour Temple of the Ram-Headed God Khnum at Esna. Continue sailing to Luxor and attend Galabia Party at dinner.)

Galabia Party

A galabia is the traditional gown worn by Egyptian men and women. It is a long-sleeved garment that reaches down to your ankles and is usually white, gray, or light blue.

I bought a white one and a tight, brightly-colored knit cap. Vi bought an Egyptian shirt. At the Galabia Party, one of the other guests told me I looked like a Rabbi! (Indeed, the trim on my galabia looked something like the trim on a tallis and my cap could have been a large yamulka!)



Galabia Party on Nile Cruise - Do I Look Like a Rabbi?



(Fri 10/31/97, Cross Nile by local ferry to visit Colossi of Memnon, Valley of the Kings, Temple of Queen Hatshepsut, and Valley of the Queens.)
In Luxor, after our morning escorted tour that included the Temple of Queen Hatshepsut where several dozen tourists were to be mowed down two weeks later, I rented a bike. For an hour I rode around the Luxor, all by myself.

At one point, to get off the heavily traveled main street, I strayed into a lower-class residential area with dirt streets. I was wearing a hat that had "NY" on it and children called out to me, in English, and said "hello" and "welcome". One boy grabbed hold of the rear of the bike and I shouted "La-a" which is "no" in Arabic, but he held on until I shouted "don't touch!" in English. The dirt streets were winding in and out like a rabbit warren with many dead ends. I had trouble finding my way out and back to the main street, but, eventually I did, with no harm done. I felt quite comfortable during that ride.

(Sat 11/1/97, Tour Temple of Karnak and then Luxor. Fly back to Cairo. Arrive at hotel at 11:30pm.)

(Sun 11/2/97, Visit Cairo Egyptian Museum, Royal Manial Palace, Saladin’s Citadel, Alabaster Mosque and the Sultan Hassan Mosque.)

We Get the "Mummy's Curse" Also Known as "Pharoh's Revenge"

First I, then Vi, succumbed to what is called the "Mummy's Curse" or "Pharoh's Revenge". Despite being careful, drinking only bottled water, and avoiding unpeeled food, such as tomatoes, we both got stomach pains and the runs! (When we returned home, we went to our physician and were given "his and hers" prescriptions.)

(Mon 11/3/97, Tour Bab Al Tutuh and Bab an Nasr, two great citadel gates in the old city walls. Lunch at El Khan Restaurant, shop in bazaars and open air markets of Khan El Khalili Suq.)

Bumper Car Adventure

During our visit to the Suq, Mona found out that our lunch would be delayed by two hours. I didn't want to hang around the Suq for that long and I asked her if there was a place we could sit down, perhaps at the Islamic University only a block away. Mona took us several blocks away to an old amusement park that had seen better days. There, we sat on rug-covered cement seats and were served tea.

I noticed that there were bumper cars and asked if they were working. Well, they were, and I talked Mona and Vi into riding. Mona said it was her very first bumper car ride!

Cairo Subway to "Old Cairo" Adventure - We Got Stoned!

After our morning organized tour, I talked a couple of other guys into walking a mile with me to the subway station. There, we boarded a subway train and rode to the "Old Cairo" area, where we walked around.

Due to a poor map and a dumb guide (me), we missed the tourist area (Coptic Church, Mosque, and a Synagogue) and ended up in an area of lower-class housing, a cement processing area, and a dump. A small boy called out in English "Good Morning" and I answered back "Good Morning" (although it was afternoon!)

On the way we passed a tourist (from Sweden) who told us he had turned around because the area didn't look good. But I pigheadedly led our little group on.

As we walked along, a boy came up to us and, in English, said "welcome" and asked us where we were from. A moment later, he winced and backed away and I saw a stone (about 2" in diameter) rolling near us, then another stone and one of my companions said he was nearly hit in the leg. I looked across the street and saw a boy throwing a rock and I waved to him and that was all. We didn't run, just continued walking and headed back to the subway station.

I don't think the boy throwing rocks was trying to hit us, perhaps he was angry with the boy who was talking to us. I don't know. However, recent events show that my feeling of comfort may have been misplaced.

(Tue 11/4/97, Tour of Christian and Jewish Old Cairo with Coptic Churches of Abu Serghius and Al Molaka, the Coptic Museum, and Ben Ezra Synagogue. Visit Modinet Nasr to see the tomb of Egypt’s late president Anwar Sadat.)

"Shalom! You're Jewish?"

After seeing the Coptic Churches, Mona led our small tour group into the Ben Ezra Synagogue. A middle-aged man in a galabia welcomed our group and then made a beeline for me. "Shalom!" he said, "You're Jewish?" "Yes" I replied. "I'm Egyptian Jewish and there are only 42 families left in Cairo, out of a population that used to be in the thousands." He gave me a booklet detailing how this historic synagogue had recently been restored to its original splendor.

The synagogue site may date back to the founding of Fostat (Old Cairo) in the seventh century. The building itself, though rebuilt several times, dates from the tenth century. Between 1177 and 1204 the congregation was led by our greatest Rabbi and scholar, Moses Maimonides, who was also physician to the Sultan. In the late 19th century, the scholar Solomon Schecter studied paper fragments from the synagoge genizah (storeroom for discarded holy books), and found some in Maimonides own hand.
It was a pleasure to tour this wonderful example of the tenacity of the Jewish people, and contribute a bit to its preservation. I hope the congregation will grow and prosper! The recent appointment of an Orthodox Jewish American as US Ambasador to Egypt could add another family to the congregation. he Jewish population of Cairo may grow.

(Wed 11/5/97, Visit Islamic Museum, Gayer Anderson House (a pair of traditional Arab houses joined together dating from 1540 and 1630 AD) and Ibn Toulon Mosque. Evening visit to the Sound and Light Show near the Pyramids at Giza.)

(Thu 11/6/97, Morning visit to Pharaonic village, lunch at Felfela restaurant. Visit to Mona's apartment.)

Visit With Mona's Family

After the scheduled touring, we took a cab to meet Mona at the Mena Hotel, near the Pyramids. The traffic was terrible and it took over an hour to get there. Our cab then followed her to her new apartment which has a view of a pyramid and is just across the street from the site of a new museum.
The cab driver offered to wait for us and we negotiated a total price of 70 LE (about $20) for the round-trip plus waiting for an hour and a half.

A special treat was meeting Mona's six-year-old daughter Sara, her four-year-old son Khalid, and her baby daughter. We also met the girl who takes care of her children and Mona's sister, who speaks French. Her husband, also a tour guide, was up in Luxor with some Spanish-speaking tourists.
She and her husband have owned this apartment for five years, but they are not yet living there. It seems loans are not available and they are fixing it up incrementally, as they can afford it. It is a very nice two-bedroom apartment with a large living room. All floors have been tiled and the walls are nicely painted. However, bare light bulbs hang from the ceiling and the wall outlets are not completed yet. A neighbor had to put a jumper around a fuse-box to get the lights to go on.

The only furniture consisted of a nice area carpet, a couch and some easy chairs, all brand new. In the kitchen, a stove and refrigerator were still bundled in plastic and the sink had not been installed yet. They hope to move in in two years or so. They purchased the apartment for about 30,000 LE from a military officer who obtained it for only 10,000 LE. It is now worth over 60,000 LE.

"Big-Mac" Attack!

That evening, after returning by cab,Vi ordered room service dinner but I needed my McDonald's "fix". No one would go with me so I walked a mile in the dark by myself to get a "Big Mac", fries and a Coke - just like in New York!

In Egypt, Even a Sheraton Hotel Checkout Requires Negotiation!

Relaxing at the Sheraton
I spent over a half-hour checking out of the Sheraton hotel. I expected to pay only for the bottled water which is an "extra" in Egypt (like alcohol would be in the US). However, they tried to charge me for all the meals (over 800 LE, about $250) and I had to point out to them that we had a voucher for them. Then, they tried to charge me for the extra on one meal where we went over the 144 LE limit plus the room service meal Vi had on our last day, which, with the water, would have been about 130 LE. We probably owed them for Vi’s meal since it wasn’t covered, but our charges for other meals had been way below the limit, mainly because we were sick. Therefore, I told the clerk to add up the cost of all meals and compare it to our total allowance. He did so and said they owed us money :^) In the end, I paid 18 LE (just for the water), but it took me over a half hour to settle the bill.
(Fri 11/7/97, Tranfer to airport for 8:45am flight to London Heathrow, and on to New York-JFK.)

Postscript: About Living with Danger

Several years ago, I read a supposedly true story about a guy who was sitting in his living room, watching TV and drinking coffee when he heard a loud noise in his garage. It seems it was close to Halloween and a couple of skydivers had taken a pumpkin along and were tossing it back and forth as they fell towards earth. One of them missed his catch and the pumpkin crashed through this guy's garage, and made a big hole in the roof of his car! Now, had the skydivers dropped the pumpkin a moment sooner or later, the pumpkin could have crashed into his living room and this guy could have been killed while sitting peacefully watching TV and drinking coffee!

Since reading that story, I've decided that my time will come when it comes and I'll enjoy life, within reason, until then. If there is a bullet (or a pumpkin) with my name on it, so be it!

Vi and I discussed what we would have done had the terrorist event at Luxor occurred while we were in Egypt. As you may have heard, British Airways sent seven empty planes to the Luxor airport to evacuate tourists who wanted to leave. We both agreed that we would NOT have left, but would have continued our vacation. I asked Vi what she would have done had the shoot-up occurred a week or two before our vacation, rather than two weeks after. She said, and I concur, that we would have taken the vacation!

Ira Glickstein